For Bay Hill course specs, hole-by-hole breakdown with yardages, and past API winners with their pre-tournament odds, visit our Arnold Palmer odds page. The CT8 GPS is the world's smallest Touch screen GPS golf trolley. It should begin to populate by midday Monday as sportsbooks open odds for the API. 0 0 0. It features tight doglegs, narrow fairways, unpredictable Kikuyu rough, and tricky, firm, and fast Poa greens. The way to fix this stat is to account for the initial distance to the hole and the starting location (fairway, rough, etc.). A cold putter has led to some disappointing recent finishes, but McIlroy continues to rank No. Hes missed the cut twice but hasnt finished worse than 21st in the eight other appearances, including three straight Top 10 finishes coming into this week. Less than half their approach shots are ending up inside. Missouri Valley Touranment Odds: Which Veteran-Laden Team Prevails? It's important to note that these distances are just averages and may vary depending on your swing, skill level, and other factors. Road To Kentucky Derby Standings: Confidence Game Worth Monitoring, James Harden NBA Player Props: 76ers Vs. Heat Monday Odds, Atlantic Sun Tournament Odds: Liberty The Clear-Cut Favorite, Complete 2023 College Basketball Conference Tournament Schedule. Tony Finau can confirm. Bet on any golfer below by clicking on the odds in the table. Just nine players rate out above average in each of the above top-10 stat categories for Bay Hill:Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, Sungjae Im, Xander Schauffele, Patrick Cantlay, Tony Finau, Jason Day, Tyrrell Hatton, andWill Zalatoris. He ranks 35th in this field for SG Ball Striking over the last 36 rounds and 40th in SG Off the Tee. Adam Woodard. With that said, there is no set formula to find success at Bay Hill, but prior success in demanding conditions tend to be the best indicator. The typical carry for a 3-iron shot was 203 yards; for a 4-iron 189; for a 5-iron 181; for a 6-iron 169; for a 7-iron 160; for an 8-iron 149; and for a 9-iron 136. The leader, Jim Furyk, clocked in at 31 feet. Driver a long way, typically in the 290-yard range Nicklaus led the Tour in driving is., this course ranked as the ninth-hardest course on pga tour proximity to hole 50 yards PGA Tour average to. Its a compelling converging of the games best in one place, as Rahm is undoubtedly the best golfer in the world at the moment, McIlroy is a past winner of the event with dominant course history, and Scheffler is your defending champion, spring-boarding himself into the conversation among golfs elite after his 2022 victory. Final round: Wednesday, March 1. So its yet another week to reference performance in difficult, Major-like conditions when handicapping this event. . Will Zalatoris is one of our expert's top picks this week. Scoring on the par 5s is crucial to ones success at Bay Hill, as there arent a great deal of real birdie opportunities otherwise, but much like a major championship, the golf course will test all areas of ones game. With such a loaded field this week, it is seemingly more of a practice of picking which elite player is going to win. That high Missed-Fairway percentage also correlates with one of the lowest Green-In-Regulation percentages on TOUR. In any case, its still a PGA TOUR event, and SG: APP still reigns supreme. 1 has played in 10 events this season. Bay Hill is a long par-72 course, measuring nearly 7,500 yards. Approaches from 150 yards. But one thing I want to point out is how TIGHT the dispersion is from this distance. But even then, the very best putters on Tour are averaging just over 80' of made putts per round. What makes Bay Hill so great is the diversity of leaderboards weve seen here. The top-10 players in SG: APP entering this week are Tom Hoge, Xander Schauffele, Rory McIlroy, Tom Kim, Collin Morikawa, Scottie Scheffler, Will Zalatoris, Tony Finau, Mark Hubbard, and Shane Lowry. The Twitter handle is a joke. Atthaya Thitikul of Thailand tees off on the eighth hole during the Final Round of the HSBC Women's World Championship at Sentosa Golf Club on March 06, 2022 in Singapore. Let the right arm straighten in the downswing. Rose holds a B.A. For the third straight week, par will be a good score on a majority of holes. Scott is in great form to continue his strong play at Riviera this week. That means an emphasis on Distance, long-irons, and Short Game around firm and fast Bermuda greens. Frank Nobilo and I were chatting earlier this year and he mentioned the pushback he received for quoting a proximity stat on air. LPGA Tour player average distances: Driver, irons, wedges Driver: 230-290 yards 3-wood: 190-260 yards 3-iron: 185-215 yards 4-iron: 170-200 yards 5-iron: 160-190 yards 6-iron: 150-175. Quail Hollow would seem to be the best place to start when looking for comps to Bay Hill. The top-10 from this range are: Suh, Montgomery, Day, Fitzpatrick, Todd, Finau, Andrew Putnam, Cam Davis, Sam Ryder, and Lucas Herbert. This will be our last stop on the West Coast swing, so its worth revisiting the Poa specialists: Homa, Rahm, Rodgers, Kuchar, Taylor, Scott, Peter Malnati, Wyndham Clark, Webb Simpson, and Justin Suh. Rory McIlroy, Rickie Fowler, Max Homa, Keith Mitchell, Viktor Hovland, Gary Woodland, Bryson DeChambeau, and Luke List have all proven the strong correlation between both courses. PGA Tour golfers are, not surprisingly, capable of hitting the ball farther than average players -- not only off the tee but also with each club in the bag. Lots of my shots with the 7 iron has a smash factor of 1.50-1.51. These are the USGA guidelines for the par on each hole based on length. About 75% of approach shots come from beyond 150 yards. From a putting standpoint, the Bermuda specialists stand out on the Florida Swing. Now it has matured into one of my favorite landscapes to watch golf, as well. To score around here, every facet of a player's game is tested to the maximum. You can follow Kannon on Twitter at@LasVegasGolferand you can read below to see his favorite plays for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, which kicks off Thursday at Bay Hill, in Orlando, Fla. Keep scrolling past Kannons picks, and youll also see data from Chirp,a free-to-play mobile platform andGOLF.comaffiliate that features a range of games with enticing prizes, giving fans all kinds of ways to engage in the action without risking any money. Since winning the FedEx St. Jude Championship last August, his health has gone into question, so Ive been hesitant to back him in 2023 until we see signs of a full recovery. The course ranks in the top five for most missed putts both inside and outside 15 feet. Looking at each of the last six winners, its notable that all six posted a Top-15 finish at this event prior to picking up their win. On average a professional golfer on the PGA Tour or LPGA Tour will hit pitching wedges an average distance of 130-150 yards. According the Leaderboard website, PGA Tour players' average 4-iron shots travel 210 to 220 yards (including the roll). They can hit 5-iron shots 195 to 205 yards; 6-iron shots 180 to 190 yards; 7-iron shots 165 to 180 yards; 8-iron shots 150 to 170 yards; and 9-iron shots 140 to 155 yards. Since 2015, Matsuyama has posted four top-11 finishes in seven appearances. Their success off the tee, however, didnt turn any of the three into dominant players. Weve seen elite drivers of the golf ball win here, elite iron players, and those possessing a magical short game. He didnt look great in exhibition display in Decembers The Match, but it will be interesting to see what a couple more months of rest and rehabilitation can do for his ailing Plantar Fasciitis. That distinction (and his presence) adds more prestige to the tournament. For my model inFantasy Nationalthis week, Im prioritizing SG: APP, SG: ARG, Prox 150+, Course & Comp Course History, and SG: T2G (Difficult Scoring Conditions) followed by a more balanced mix of Weighted Putting (Bermuda, Fast Greens), Driving Distance, P4: 450-500, Par 3: 200+, Par-5 Scoring, Bogey Avoidance, and SG: T2G (L12 Rounds). Scroll to the bottom of this article to compare complete outright odds across legal U.S. sportsbooks. Here is everything you can expect from Bay Hill at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. 2. Is he going to win? A proper mixture of distance and accuracy is the ticket here. Now - bear in mind the PGA tour players are playing tough courses with pins cut tight to the edges, so from 180, they might well be aiming it 20 feet away from the hole. The presence of these reachable par-4s and par-5s creates hidden distance in the rest of the course, which also includes three par-3s over 190 yards and six par-4s over 450 yards. We know he is an elite iron player, he ranks No. With a player recovering from injury, such as Tiger Woods for example, its fair to expect play to get worse over four rounds as fatigue sets in. Hell be on my betting card assuming his odds surpass 35-1. That also checks out when looking at Riviera CC itself, as he ranks No. To nobodys surprise, Jon Rahm and Rory McIlroy rank very high for me statistically this week but with their prices so short, Ive gone a little further down the board for my selections. This course has seen success from short game savants likeKevin Na, Kevin Kisner, Billy Horschel, andChristiaan Bezuidenhoutwho lack the distance youd ideally want to see for Bay Hill. Another week, another elevated event! Not quite to the level of Patrick Cantlay, but SungJae Im is another player who does everything well with nary the glaring weakness. Bay Hill is no different with five par-4s measuring over 450 yards and all four par-3s measuring over 200 yards. Step 1 - don't panic. Both are difficult tests that favor distance over precision off the tee with a classical and tree-lined look, and share the Tom Fazio influence after his renovations to Riviera in the 2000s. For the best website. Its hardif not impossibleto win with poor putting and even worse approach shots. Cantlay ranks 5th on Tour in Total Driving, being both long and accurate. There are 11 players in this field who have delivered multiple T10 finishes over the last five years: McIlroy, Hatton, Fitzpatrick, Fleetwood, Sungjae Im, Chris Kirk, Keegan Bradley, Keith Mitchell, Corey Conners, and Luke List. Bet on any golfer by clicking on the Arnold Palmer Invitational odds in the table. The tournament is one of five spring college events airing on Golf Channel . Over eight career appearances, hes never finished outside the top-30, including a win in 2018 and a current streak of six consecutive top-13 finishes. I typically dont feed that many categories into my model. Market forecast and expert KPIs for 600+ segments in 150+ countries . First hole: The easiest par-5 on TOUR, playing 500 yards downhill, Sixth hole: 200-yard par-3 with a two-tiered green featuring a bunker right in the center, 10th hole: One of the shortest yet most challenging risk-reward par-4s on TOUR, 15th hole: A narrow dogleg right, which recently inspired a trend of players playing down the neighboring 17th hole fairway instead, Bogey Avoidance (Comp, Difficult Conditions). At Riviera CC, Im defining Comp Conditions as layouts that also feature narrow fairways, penal rough, and difficult all-around scoring. The top-10 players in terms of Proximity 150+ are Collin Morikawa, Jon Rahm, Cam Davis, Xander Schauffele, Rory McIlroy, Cameron Young, Tom Hoge, Justin Rose, Gary Woodland, and Sungjae Im. Wrap that altogether and the top-10 players in terms of Comp Course History are Scottie Scheffler, Collin Morikawa, Will Zalatoris, Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, Hideki Matsuyama, Xander Schauffele, Keegan Bradley, Matt Fitzpatrick, and Shane Lowry. Latest Pre-Live FanDuel Massachusetts Promo: $100 Instantly. So how did Casey do it? In any case, the field is still stacked without him, and the Elevated events have not disappointed yet, so we should be in store for another captivating week of high-level golf. As an elevated event this time around in 2023, the purse will be among the highest of any non-Major event this season. 84 sand bunkers dot the layout and water comes into play on 9 of the 18 holes. 1, 2, and 3 (Rory McIlroy, Scottie Scheffler, and Jon Rahm) highlight the field this week. But, the fit is undeniable as the World No. Each player also happens to fall inside the top 15 of my model, which rarely ends up being the case. However, imposes one of the most stern challenges on the PGA TOUR nonetheless. From short approach shots (60-100 yards) the average proximity is shown below from 3 different lie types: fairway, rough and bunker. It is also worth noting that he is No. In this field over the last 36 rounds, Day is 8th in SG Ball Striking, 11th in SG Approach, and 20th in SG Putting. Unfortunately for our purposes, this is the first time that Patrick Cantlay will be playing in this event. Proximity to the hole is measured by the average distance the ball comes to rest from the hole after the player's approach. Start the Golf Season off right with InsideGOLF ($100 value - just $20). In 2020,Tyrrell Hattonsurvived severely windy conditions with a Sunday 74 to post a -4, which edged him past Marc Leishman by one stroke to claim victory. in communications. That changed on Thursday. It's more about intuitively knowing how much juice to put on, the same for a "feel shot" you make with a 56 or 60 degree from ~60 yards out. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. With the strongest field weve seen in recent memory on tap this week, the stakes will be higher than ever before. Lob Wedge. Every hole out over 150 yards this year on the PGA TOUR | 2021 62,239 views Dec 24, 2021 613 Dislike Share Save PGA TOUR 938K subscribers Check out every single hole out (televised). The biggest differences at this course compared to TOUR average come fromP5: 550-600andOpportunities Gained, which fall outside the top 10. We hate touts. Scott has not missed a cut since the PGA Championship in May 2022, and has four top-6 finishes over his last nine starts. Tiger Woods became the host and face of this event since transitioning to a more prestigious Invitational designation in 2020. Last year, 21.7% of approach shots came from 150-175 yards, which is a touch above the TOUR average of 20.3%. It appears your browser may be outdated. Nine players in this field delivered multiple T10 finishes over the last five years: Scott, Finau, Homa, McIlroy, Rahm, Thomas, Hovland, Matsuyama, and Chez Reavie. Ten of the last 11 winners of this event ranked in the Top 55 on Tour in Proximity to the Hole from 200 or more yards. The top-10 players in SG: T2G (Difficult Scoring Conditions) are Rory McIlroy, Scottie Scheffler, Max Homa, Collin Morikawa, Jon Rahm, Xander Schauffele, Sungjae Im, Jordan Spieth, Tony Finau, and Patrick Cantlay. This is a example of one of my shots with 7 iron. A presence of long par-4s and long par-3s have shown consistent across most difficult venues. Is Tiger going to win this event? Stop me if youve heard that one before! Shorter hitters like Kevin Na, Matt Kuchar, and Chez Reavie also found success here. This event ranked in the bottom two in average Driving Accuracy every year since 2015. Rory must have a flair for Invitationals, as if theres an event hes proven more consistency at than the Genesis, it is assuredly the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Its an eclectic group of bombers and short game specialists, but none come as much of a surprise. A year later, he continues to suit Riviera CC well and claims the No. It would be clich to say that no course compares to Riviera CC, but I do struggle to find an exact match. The Twitter handle is a joke. The top 10 in this category are: McIlroy, Fitzpatrick, Scheffler, Finau, Homa, Bradley, Morikawa, Shane Lowry, Sungjae Im, and Tommy Fleetwood. Last year, severe winds intervened over the weekend, creating a chaotic conclusion in which Scottie Scheffler edged past Viktor Hovland, Gary Woodland and Billy Horschel to claim his second career victory. More importantly, how could he have ranked 7th with such poor proximity to the pin numbers? A graduate at Syracuse University, John works out of Jersey City as a Director of Media Strategy for HBO and HBO Max. Not many PGA Tour events these days feature 4 of rough plus green complexes that can run as firm as 12 on the stimpmeter if the elements allow. No, he is not a tout. This year, the world will be watching as he prepares to make a surprise return, his first PGA TOUR start since The Open in July 2022. Right now, the forecast is calling for calm conditions on Thursday and Sunday but Friday and Saturday could blow well over 20 mph. The stretching 7,466 yard, Par 72 features a set of tough par-4s, plus 3 of the par-5s measure over 555 yards. PGA Tour player approach shots: 100-125 yards GIR: 74.59% Proximity from the fairway: 20'0 Proximity from the rough: 30'3 PGA Tour player approach shots: 150-175 yards GIR: 63.95% He averaged 303 yards off the tee at PGA National, 29th in the field. After Quail Hollow, PGA National, Innisbrook Resort, and The Concession all share similar characteristics from the Florida region, while Muirfield Village has also offered a similarly stern test with its length, thick rough, and firm greens. Tournament TOUR Championship TOUR Average 3' 8" The average distance to the hole (in feet) after hitting the ball onto the putting surface from around the green and the shot taken was less. Harman ranks 21st in this field over the last 24 rounds on hard courses with long rough. You cant simply cross players off from contending if they are below average in Distance, Approach, or Putting. Tiger Woods is ranked number one in total strokes gained and he is ranked at or near the top of PGA TOUR golfers in each of the three main categories: long game, short game and putting. This may be good week to monitor U.S. Open futures if value players impress. Quail Hollow shares the motley crew of Homa, Holmes,and Hahn. Now he arrives more in the role of an underdog with the price to go along with it, but at a course at which hes experienced very high level success. Consider putting: right around 8' is typically the break point on the PGA Tour for making 50% of putts. Id also adjust for course difficulty and strength of field to get a measure of corrected proximity. And so I did. Professional golfers with the longest average driving distance on the PGA tour in 2022 (in yards) [Graph], PGA, August 24 . The shot must not originate from on or around the green and the. Now we head for another one of the elevated events, The Arnold Palmer Invitational and he has five more picks as well as a comprehensive preview. The median driving distance average on the PGA Tour in 2011 was 282 yards. No surprise here. There are 11 players who rank top-40 in SG: ARG, Scrambling Gained, and Bogey Avoidance: Max Homa, Patrick Cantlay, Tommy Fleetwood, Sahith Theegala, Hideki Matsuyama, Tom Kim, Seamus Power, JJ Spaun, Andrew Putnam, Aaron Baddeley, and Mackenzie Hughes. Instead, itll be a week for patience to observe where the value slips to. Not everyone will like it, 5 ways the PGA Tour just got better (and 3 ways it got worse! Overlapping winners at Augusta National includes: Scott, Watson, Dustin Johnson, Phil Mickelson, Mike Weir, Fred Couples, and Nick Faldo. Nine of the Top 10 players in the OWGR are present, 23 of the Top 25 and 44 of the Top 50 players in the world rankings are scheduled to tee it up this Thursday. Proximity to Hole from < 10 yards | PGA TOUR Stats To watch in a smaller size, scroll down while your video is playing. As explained this week in the infographics below: How PGA Tour players fare on approach shots from 100-125, 150-175 and 200-plus yards. Instead, the list of past champions back to tee it up includeMax Homa, Adam Scott, J.B. Holmes, and James Hahn. Following a busy West Coast Swing, the Arnold Palmer Invitational has not always ushered in as many of the elites as weve grown used to seeing at the Genesis Invitational. All of a sudden, a 500-yard hole may play more like 440 yards, putting it squarely into a par 4. Eliminate the longest five and the shortest five, and then figure out the middle of the remaining group. John Haslbauer writes about golf betting and advanced golf metrics for TheLines.com. Just six players rate out above average in each of those categories: McIlroy, Homa, Finau, Rahm, Cantlay, and Scheffler. My guess is your winner will have to be excellent in at least two of those three areas this week. PGA TOUR, PGA TOUR Champions, and the Swinging Golfer design are registered trademarks. Play the ball more up in your stance. Par 3, 4, 5 are more common with many golf courses but some courses include Par 6. Im placing the most importance on Bogey Avoidance in Difficult Scoring Conditions this week. He created the website thepgatout.com at the start of 2021 and is active on Twitter (@PGATout). The hole plays 14 yards longer than the difficult par-4 12th hole and features the same scoring average of 4.3.
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